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The Relationship Between The Popular And The Electoral

The FiveThirtyEight blog does the math and reveals the relationship between the popular vote and the electoral college:
The relationship between the popular vote and the electoral vote is approximately linear, except at the endpoints. As a rule of thumb, a gain of one percentage point in a Obama's popular vote share results in a gain of 25 electoral votes. This is also, you will note, a pretty steep slope. If Obama wins the election by 4 percentage points, he projects to win by approximately 100 electoral votes (319-219).
Jun 17, 2008 8:45 AM

J.C. Is No J.C.

Terry Frank is scratching former Oklahoma Representative J.C. Watts out of her cool book after he said he may vote for Obama:
After reading  Watts say that he’s looking at Obama, he’s off my list of respectable leaders.  What J.C. Watts said to me is that race matters more than principle.  Color matters more than ideology. As a woman, should I have been pulling for Hillary Clinton?  We’ve never had a woman president either. But you know, as a woman, it never entered my mind for one second that I would support Hillary.  Hillary, though engaged in an extreme campaign makeover, is liberal.  She was always the more liberal half of the Clinton marriage. And as a conservative, she wasn’t on my list of possibilities. Well, heck, as you know from my writing, McCain’s not really on the list either. I could and can understand if Watts came out and said that he was upset with the party.  Or he was upset with the choice of McCain.  Or whatever his beef with the GOP is.  But is voting for the big-government, marxist influenced, Chicago neophyte with a plethora of shady characters, terrorists, and race baiters in his circle of influence an answer?  Perhaps threatening to not vote, or vote Constitutional Party, or anything else.  But abandoning everything you claim to have stood for based on identity politics? It’s disappointing.
Jun 17, 2008 8:27 AM

The Gore Endorsement

From Andrew Malcom:
Anyway, as The Ticket reported, Gore said all the right things in his endorsement speech, except he noticeably left out the last Democratic president, the one who chose to elevate Gore from has-been senator to his running mate and has been the only Democrat elected president twice since World War II, which is like the Middle Ages for today's voters.
SEE ALSO: Tennessee Guerilla Woman CBS News LA Times The AP Anchors interrupt Gore Washington Post The Washington Times Grantham Is Talking
Jun 17, 2008 8:21 AM

Rebuilding America's Barn

Mike Padgett gives an Amen to the words of fellow Appalachian Democrat Heath Shuler:

In Chattanooga, I was honored to attend the 1st Annual Marilyn Lloyd dinner. It’s always feels like home when I run into state party Chairman Gray Sasser at these events. And I really enjoyed hearing my friend, Congressman Heath Shuler, speak.

He represents an Appalachian district in North Carolina, and his words rang so true when he talked about how Americans need to get back to the way we once were: If a neighbor’s barn burned down, everybody in the community would show up the next Saturday to rebuild it.

Jun 17, 2008 8:17 AM

The Future Of Public Transit In Nashville

Drewbert is glad that the money has been found to allow MTA to restore some of the bus routes cut due to budget constraintss but wonders what the future holds:
I hope that in the coming year some serious thought is given to finding real, stable funding for MTA. If gas prices continue to rise and no substantial changes are made, the same thing is going to happen next year, and it won't be any less painful. What can be done, and what changes can MTA itself make to ensure its long-term growth?
Jun 17, 2008 8:12 AM

Gay Tennesseans Take Advantage Of California's Court Ruling

From the AP:
At least two people from Tennessee are among those exchanging vows in California after a landmark ruling allowing same-sex nuptials in that state went into effect. Already in the Bay area for a conference, 23-year-old Derek Norman and 39-year-old Robert Blaudow of Memphis decided to get married at the Alameda County clerk's office.
Jun 17, 2008 8:04 AM

Say Two Hail Mary's And Remove Your Occupying Troops From Iraq

David Oatney reports that President Bush may be thinking of becoming a Roman Catholic.
Jun 17, 2008 8:02 AM
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Watch Out For That Guy In The El Camino Plastered With Liberal Bumper Stickers

From Les Jones:
Watch out for cars with bumper stickers. That's the surprising conclusion of a recent study by Colorado State University social psychologist William Szlemko. Drivers of cars with bumper stickers, window decals, personalized license plates and other "territorial markers" not only get mad when someone cuts in their lane or is slow to respond to a changed traffic light, but they are far more likely than those who do not personalize their cars to use their vehicles to express rage -- by honking, tailgating and other aggressive behavior.It does not seem to matter whether the messages on the stickers are about peace and love -- "Visualize World Peace," "My Kid Is an Honor Student" -- or angry and in your face -- "Don't Mess With Texas," "My Kid Beat Up Your Honor Student."
Jun 17, 2008 8:00 AM

Recurring Expenses

Nashvillest reports on the robbing of John Q. Government worker to pay Miley:
Word on the street is that we just spent $3 million in tax incentives to bring Miley Cyrus back to her home state to film the new Hannah Montana movie. Believe it or not, this may actually be a good thing, since Disney’s endorsement could bring many more film productions to Tennessee before all is said and done. Well, we guess that depends on how you define a “good thing” - tell that to the 1,200 state employees who will be getting their buyout packets today.
Jun 17, 2008 7:57 AM
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The Power Of Incumbency

Tom Humphrey discusses the history challengers to incumbent Tennessee Congressmen are looking to overcome this election cycle:
No incumbent U.S. House member in Tennessee has been defeated in a bid for re-election since 1974, when Republican Reps. Dan Kuykendall in the 9th District and Lamar Baker in the 3rd District lost their re-election bids in the aftermath of the Watergate scandal in Washington. Kuykendall was defeated by Harold Ford Sr. of Memphis and Baker lost to Marilyn Lloyd of Chattanooga.
SEE ALSO: The battle in the First District.
Jun 17, 2008 7:49 AM